Investment Ideas Weekly – Monday Oct 12, 2015
Investment Ideas – Monday Oct 12, 2015
Investing
(Monday – Oct 12, 2015)
A weekly forecast and investment ideas covering a range of technical and fundamental analysis securities to assist you in when to buy and when to sell a specific security.
This is informational only and is not meant as a recommendation to buy or sell any security, but a guide to start the research process before making any stock purchase or a sell recommendation.
The information provided is based on timely fundamental, technical analysis or both. Technical analysis can change hour by hour; tick by tick so keep that in mind as to the timeliness of the information especially if you are reading this days or even weeks later.
The market trend as of this past Friday Oct 09 was Mildly Bullish , the price trend has moved Downward though the 20 day moving average and 20 has moved below the 50 day average .
The primary trend is Up over the past five day, the longer trend (two weeks) is Up. MACD turned Positive . YTD the S&P 500 is negative at -0.54 %.
Market is flat this morning, wait to see how the day develops before making any trades.
Wilshire index Price: (Total Wilshire 5000 value divided by 5000)
Oct 09 – $4.232
Oct 02 – $4.091
Sep 25 – $4.063
Sep 18 – $4.136
Sep 11 – $4.138
Sep 04 – $4.061
Aug 28 – $4.194
Aug 21 – $4.154
Aug 14 – $4.402
Aug 07 – $4.371
Jul 31 – $4.436
Jul 24 – $4.381
Jul 02 – $4.390
Jun 26 – $4.449
Wilshire 5000 Index
Jan 02 2015 – $4.333
MACD is a simple momentum indicator. Buy signals occur when the black line crosses over the red line. Sell signals happen when the black line crosses beneath the red line.
3 types of analysis.
1
Technical analysis is the study of past market prices and trading volume. It will keep you trading with the market, rather than against it.
2
Fundamental analysis is the study of business quality and value. It will help you pinpoint great businesses at great prices… and avoid bad businesses at inflated prices.
3
Sentiment analysis is the study of the opinions of market participants. You can use it to make sure you’re not standing with the crowd just as it’s about to get dumped overboard.
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Market Watch
Trailing Stop Loss
Don’t forget to place a trailing stop loss on all your positions as you make the purchases. Depending on your risk tolerance place a stop loss anywhere between 10 and 25 percent for mid to large cap stocks, ETF’s and mutual funds. Consider even large percentage for small cap stocks including mutual funds and ETFs.
Last Week:
Market conditions are Mildly bullish in a Neutral Market as of 2015-10-09. This means traders and investors should consider trading with a Neutral or Bullish bias by buying stocks and setting tight stops.
Top Relative Timing – Industries (in order of timing)
Machinery (Automation)
Auto & Truck (Tires\Misc)
Electrical (Connectors)
Building (A/C Heating)
Container (Metal\Glass)
Top Relative Timing – Sectors (in order of timing)
Container
REIT
Market
Office
Utility
Stocks to consider based on dividend yield
S&P 500
Windstream Holdings (WIN) 9.68 %
CenturyLink (CTL) 8.40 %
Frontier Commun (FTR) 8.11 %
Mattel (MAT) 6.80 %
Percent change, 200-day moving average
Cablevision Sys (CVC) 34.55 %
Teco Energy (TE) 28.18 %
Cameron Int’l (CAM) 23.54 %
Netflix (NFLX) 20.23 %
Stocks going up fast
Atlas Resource (ARP)
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ)
Sandridge Energy (SD)
Yahoo (YHOO)
New 52 week High ( random selected)
Altera Corp (ALTR)
Fiserv (FISV)
LGI Homes (LGIH)
Nike (NKE)
Zacks Investment Research
Bull of the Day – Oct 09
VIPshop (VIPS)
The bullish attitude on Wall Street has boosted the stock price recently. After selling off aggressively on the heels of some bad news in the Far East, shares plummeted from over $30 to under $15. At $15 the buyers began to step back in and send the stock higher. Since the end of September the bounce has taken shares from $16 to nearly $20. There is some resistance at $20 but the next major hurdle at $22 is a more likely price target in the intermediate term.
Daniel Iuculano, AAMS CMFC
Accredited Asset Management Specialist
Chartered Mutual Fund Counselor
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